Prog Neuropsychopharmacol Biol Psychiatry. 2025 Mar 25:111340. doi: 10.1016/j.pnpbp.2025.111340. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a severe affective disorder that is clearly linked to stroke and diabetes. This study aimed to investigate the mediating role of stroke and diabetes in the association between the cardiometabolic index (CMI) and MDD.

METHODS: This cross-sectional study analyzed data from 8312 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 2005-2018). MDD was diagnosed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9; score > 10). Associations were evaluated using multivariate logistic/linear regression, stratified interaction analyses, restricted cubic spline (RCS) models for nonlinearity, and bootstrap mediation testing.

RESULTS: There was a robust positive correlation between the incidence of MDD [OR = 1.36 (95 % CI: 1.21-1.51)] and the PHQ-9 score [β = 0.55 (95 % CI: 0.37-0.73)], with a one-unit increase in CMI. The participants in CMIQ4 had a 64 % greater risk of stroke than did the participants in CMIQ1 [OR = 1.64 (95 % CI: 1.17-2.29)]. The forest plot shows that the results remained stable under the grouping of stroke, diabetes, race, gender, and age. Moreover, stroke and diabetes both exhibited partial mediating roles, with indirect effects accounting for 4.03 % and 5.37 % of the total effect, respectively. Through RCS analysis, a nonlinear correlation was observed between CMI and MDD and between CMI and diabetes. There is a linear relationship between stroke and MDD, and maintaining CMI levels below 0.518 may mitigate the risk of MDD.

CONCLUSION: Stroke and diabetes partially mediated the associations between CMI and MDD. However, additional prospective studies are warranted to scrutinize the impact of CMI on MDD.

PMID:40147810 | DOI:10.1016/j.pnpbp.2025.111340